Claris Lifesciences Ltd. is in
process of buy back of 15% of the total number of Equity shares which held by
the investors to the buyback price of Rs.250. This process will complete on
22th may, 2014. I am expecting effect in price and recommending to “BUY” Claris
Lifesciences Ltd. With target of 190-200.
Tuesday, May 20, 2014
Sunday, May 18, 2014
BAJAJ CORP LTD.
BAJAJ CORP
LTD.
Bajaj Corp incorporated on 25th April, 2006 but its products
have been in existence since 1953 and were sold by different Bajaj group
companies. The company is in manufacturing of hair-oils and its key products
are Bajaj Almond Drops, a premium brand that is currently the market leader in
the light hair oil segment.
The company manufactures its products at company-operated facilities in
Parwanoo, Dehradun and Paonta Sahib.
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Products
of Company
Source:
Company’s investors’ presentation
Investment Rationale
Ø
Increasing in rural wages: Wages in rural India have grown at fastest during 2008-13 at the annual
rate of 8%. Increase in rural income spending
of them increasing. Also urbanization of rural area helps to increase sales of
FMCG companies.
Source: CII rural report
Ø
Product Range: Company
has major hair oil products in its products portfolio and recently company
diversified it to face cream segment by acquisition of Nomarks brand.
Ø Increase market share in Bajaj Almond Drop, which is premium brand of the
company. For increasing market share, company never have to sacrifices its
pricing power. Nomarks brand also start contributing to revenue of the company,
and in FY14 Nomarks has contributed 2.4% to the company revenue.
Source:
Company’s investors’ presentation
Ø
Strong Performance: From
5 years, company has generated positive cash flow from operating activities. Company
has recorded CAGR Net Sales and Net Profit of 19.94% and 28.74% respectively in
last 5 years. Average 5 years ROE (%) of company is 98.05%. Cash Conversion
Cycle of Bajaj Corp is -6.97 days in FY13 which is low compare to Cash
Conversion Cycle of Marico and Dabur which is 38.91 days and 35.81 days
respectively.
Ø Total debt/Equity was 0 in FY13 and Interest coverage 2544.18x in FY13. Company
has taken nominal debt in FY14 for acquiring Nomarks brand.
Risks
Ø Strong Competition:
Company facing competition with Marico in Hair oil
segment. Parachute of Marico is leader in coconut hair oil, company also facing
competition with Dabur amla of Dabur India Ltd. Though strong competition in
hair oil segment, Bajaj Corp positioning leader market share in Light Hair Oil
segment.
Outlook
Ø
Bajaj Corp Ltd. has leading market
share in Almond drop hair oil and also leading market share in Light hair oil
segment. Company has included Nomarks brand in product portfolio which contributing
value to company’s revenue. After acquiring Nomarks brand company’s products
portfolio not only remain limited to hair oil segments.
Ø Currently company trading at TTM PE of 21.00x and TTM EPS of Rs.10.10,
and it’s expected that TTM PE of 22.40x and TTM EPS of Rs.10.78-11 so that
upside in this stock can be Rs.240-250 so accumulate “Bajaj Corp Ltd.” for the
horizon of 15-18 months.
Monday, April 21, 2014
WONDERLA HOLIDAYS IPO: SUBSCRIBE
The company has an established presence in South, which will be expanded further in the south region. Company planning to enter Chennai after Hyderabad. Besides this its has many advantages like near to debt-free company, strong and experienced management, strong positioned for amusement parks, robust financial performance, in-house manufacturing facility, etc. At the price band of Rs.115-125, the company is quoted at 14.38x and 15.63x on its FY13 EPS of Rs.8.00.
I, Jimit R. Zaveri recommend investors to “SUBSCRIBE” the Wonderla Holidays Ltd IPO considering it’s strong and experienced management, strong positioned for amusement parks, robust financial performance, in-house manufacturing facility at Wonderla Kochi and long term gorwth opportunity in the amusement parks industries on the back of spending for leisure activities and for amusement parks by people in India.
Wonderla Holidays IPO: SUBSCRIBE
WonderLa’s FY13
EPS is about Rs. 8 and at Rs. 125, the PE of 15.63x which is looking attractive
at issue price band. One can apply in the issue based on strong fundamental
such as Operational experience in the amusement park industry, In-house
manufacturing facility at Wonderla Kochi, High profit margins, High safety and
hygiene standards, Experienced promoters, management and qualified staff, Entry
Barriers and Constantly innovate new attractions at our amusement parks.
The
company’s Promoter, Kochouseph Chittilappilly in the year 1996 incorporated
V-Guard Industries. Also key management personnel information George Joseph (Chairman,
Non-Executive Director (Independent)) serving as director at Muthoot Finance
Limited, Ramachandran Panjan Moothedath (Non-Executive Director (Independent))
serving as director at Jyothy Laboratories Limited, Jyothy Consumer Products Limited.
On above
strong investment rationale and reasonable valuations, I recommending investors to “SUBSCRIBE”
Wonderla Holidays-IPO.
Detail report will be soon updated.
Visit For Further Details,
Tuesday, April 15, 2014
INFOSYS Q4FY14 Result Update
Infosys Ltd.- Q4FY14 Consolidated- Net Profit Rs.2992 cr in Q4FY14 v/s Rs.2394 cr in Q4FY13., up by 24.98% (Y-o-Y).
Revenue- Rs. 12875cr in Q4FY14 v/s Rs.10454 cr in Q4FY13, up by 23.16% (Y-o-Y).
Net Profit- Rs.2992cr in Q4FY14 v/s Rs.2875cr in Q3FY14, up by 4.07%. (Q-o-Q).
Revenue- Rs.12875cr in Q4FY14 v/s Rs.13026cr in Q3FY14,Down by -1.16% (Q-o-Q).
Infosys declares final dividend of Rs 43/share.
Guidence- FY15 revenue expected to grow by 7%-9% in US$ terms.
INFOSYS Q4FY14
Sunday, March 30, 2014
Herd Behaviour
Herd Behaviour is involves people using the actions of others
as a guide to sensible behaviour, instead of independently seeking out
high-quality information about the likely outcomes of these actions.
Here, people not take their independent decision, they see,
observe others decisions and driven by those decisions. They are not going to
evaluate other’s decision before using it as benchmark, just follow other’s
decision blindly.
This kind of mentality originally seen in animals as they
follow groups and roaming under the group. Same as humans follow their group
and follow decisions of group.
Stock market
bubbles, 2008 global crisis, and so on are the examples of herd mentality.
One real Example of Indian Stock Market-
ASTRAZENECA PHARMA INDIA LTD.
BSE Code
|
506820
|
NSE Code
|
ASTRAZEN
|
Sector
|
Pharmaceuticals
|
52 week high/low (Rs.)
|
1285.00/595.00
|
No. of shares (Cr)
|
25
|
Latest Book Value(Rs)
|
40.73
|
P/BV (x)
|
27.58
|
Beta
|
0.24
|
TTM PE (x)
|
0.00
|
TTM EPS (Rs.)
|
-6.61
|
Latest Dividend (Rs.)
|
3.50
|
03 Mar 2014- AstraZeneca Pharma India Ltd has informed BSE that the
Board of Directors (Board) of AstraZeneca Pharma India Limited (Company) have,
on March 01, 2014, received by email a scanned copy of the letter from
AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals AB (AZP AB) Sweden, promoter of the Company,
proposing to make a voluntary delisting offer (the Delisting Proposal) to the
public shareholders of the Company in accordance with the Securities and
Exchange Board of India.
18 Mar 2014- AstraZeneca Pharma India Ltd has informed BSE that,
pursuant to and in accordance with Regulation 8(1)(a) of the Securities and
Exchange Board of India (Delisting of Equity Shares) Regulations, 2009, the
delisting proposal received from AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals AB, Sweden, the
promoter of the Company, vide their letter dated March 01, 2014, was considered
and approved by the Board of the Company at its meeting held on March 15, 2014.
This shows behavior of people that
reflecting into the price of the stock and drive price to upward direction. As announcement
of delisting happened volume in particular stock also shoots up.
Irrationality
Irrationality is thinking, acting, behaving or
talking without inclusion of rationality.
Rationality is the quality or state of being
reasonable, based on facts or reason. We evaluate each and every possible
steps, cost and benefits from doing something or not doing that activity. Come
up with proper reason and select or avoid decision.
So irrationality doesn’t involve rationality.
As tradition economic believes that people always behave rationally in every
situation. But is it really happen????
Ex:-
You are roaming at forest and lion comes and stand in front of you. At that time what will you do?
Do
you think about all options, cost and benefits? What’s the cost of running?
What’s the benefit of running?
NO
We just start running as fast as we can.
Thus, at that time our emotion replace on our
thinking system and order to run as fast as you can.
So Irrationality is about the forces that drive
our behavior that can be economic forces, social forces.
As when we come to the policies, we just can’t
consider only standard economy. We think about society’s care and take a
broader picture, broader perspective that just not included only rational. We
also have to include what we know about human nature.
We had seen stocks bubbles (Sub-Prime crisis,
IT bubble, etc.), people over extending limits of credit cards, taking
mortgages, etc. in which where we can see the rationality???
Rationality says that people are strong enough
to calculate everything, consider all options then make decision but in real
world people are confused, have an emotions, not every time thinking about
future, fall in love and so on.
So that people behave irrationally most of the
time which not included under standard economic and pre-assume that people
behave rationally.
We rely on contextual information to make all
sorts of judgments and decisions. Illusion under us is that we know the answer,
we know the right thing to do. But in fact we are wrong. That is just a mental,
visual illusion many a time which shape our decision and judgments.
Ex:-
See the below picture…… at top what color is it
look like?????
Your answer is its look like brown.
Now, at the bottom one what color is it look
like????
Your answer is its look like orange.
You can’t see both the color as an identical.
Let’s see now….. Cover all side and what both
color is it look like???? Is it identical????
Now, our answer is yes both the colors are
identical.
It is a visual illusion which drives our
decision of those both colors are not an identical.
But is it really????
No, In fact those both colors are identical.
Thus, illusion which drives our decision.
Many times we took decisions which are driven
by some of the forces and those are not be a rational. We are human and we
makes some mistakes repeatedly again and again but benefit of being the human
is that we can identifies our mistakes and can take steps for improvement.
See the above video and get more insights.....
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